The Season We Trusted a Nine-Game Sample
A player with almost no history looked like our strongest candidate for three weeks. The corpus was working exactly as designed, which was the problem.
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What Counts as Enough History
How much prior performance we require before we will rate a player at all, and the two years we spent getting that number wrong.
Read articleWhy a Proven Performer Outranks a Hot Streak
The oldest belief in the shop, the one piece of it that has survived every rebuild, and the two places where it is simply wrong.
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